Minnesota
W-L: (31-21) PR = 97.3381Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 11- 5 214 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 8- 0 215 H Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 0 218 H Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 5- 6 221 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 12- 2 222 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 15- 5 225 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 7- 8 227 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 12- 5 228 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 10- 3 301 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 3- 8 303 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 14- 5 304 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 6-10 306 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 10- 2 307 H South Dakota State SM ( 4-15, 90.6) 3- 2 308 H Omaha SM ( 3-15, 92.1) 6- 4 310 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 11- 8 311 H Gonzaga WC (35-19, 95.7) 6- 2 313 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 1- 2 314 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 2- 4 314 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 1- 0 317 A UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 4-11 320 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 6- 8 321 H Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 2- 2 322 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 14- 2 325 H St. Thomas SM ( 1- 8, 89.9) 15- 5 327 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 3- 4 328 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 3- 9 329 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 9-12 403 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 9- 4 404 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 2- 3 405 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 4- 5 408 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 16- 3 410 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 12- 9 410 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 7- 8 411 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 5- 4 414 A St. Thomas SM ( 1- 8, 89.9) 24- 2 417 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 2- 4 418 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 4- 6 419 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 2- 5 421 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 12- 3 424 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 13- 1 425 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 7- 3 426 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 7- 2 428 H St. Thomas SM ( 1- 8, 89.9) 12- 1 502 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 5- 4 502 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 5- 3 503 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 3- 4 508 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 13- 1 509 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 8- 9 510 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 5- 8 514 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 7- 0 515 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 6- 2 516 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 11-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Stetson 11- 5 6 4 + 2.10
214 A St. John's 8- 0 8 3 ++ 5.49
215 H Ball State 8- 0 8 7 1.36
218 H Miami 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.57
221 H Northeastern 12- 2 10 4 +++ 6.41
222 H Northeastern 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.41
225 H Kansas 7- 8 -1 1 -1.88
227 H Kansas 12- 5 7 1 +++ 6.12
228 H Kansas 10- 3 7 1 +++ 6.12
301 H Kansas 3- 8 -5 1 -- -5.88
303 A Sam Houston 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.78
304 A Long Beach State 6-10 -4 4 --- -7.78
306 A Xavier 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.93
307 H South Dakota State 3- 2 1 7 --- -6.37
308 H Omaha 6- 4 2 6 - -3.88
310 H Gonzaga 11- 8 3 2 0.69
311 H Gonzaga 6- 2 4 2 1.69
313 A Illinois 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.51
314 A Illinois 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.51
317 A UTSA 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.51
320 A Indiana 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.61
321 H Purdue 2- 2 0 2 -1.67
322 A Indiana 14- 2 12 2 +++ 10.39
325 H St. Thomas 15- 5 10 8 1.88
327 H Ohio State 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.98
328 H Ohio State 3- 9 -6 3 --- -8.98
329 H Ohio State 9-12 -3 3 -- -5.98
403 A Iowa 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.17
404 A Iowa 2- 3 -1 1 -1.83
405 A Iowa 4- 5 -1 1 -1.83
408 A New Mexico State 16- 3 13 4 +++ 9.22
410 A North Alabama 12- 9 3 3 -0.26
410 A Cal State Bakersfield 7- 8 -1 4 -- -4.77
411 H Washington 5- 4 1 4 - -3.14
414 A St. Thomas 24- 2 22 7 +++ 7.23
417 A UCLA 2- 4 -2 -2 -0.25
418 A UCLA 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.25
419 A UCLA 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.25
421 H North Dakota State 12- 3 9 6 + 2.84
424 H Northwestern 13- 1 12 5 +++ 6.50
425 H Northwestern 7- 3 4 5 -1.50
426 H Northwestern 7- 2 5 5 -0.50
428 H St. Thomas 12- 1 11 8 + 2.88
502 A Penn State 5- 4 1 5 - -3.95
502 A Penn State 5- 3 2 5 - -2.95
503 A Penn State 3- 4 -1 5 -- -5.95
508 H Michigan 13- 1 12 2 +++ 9.82
509 H Michigan 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.18
510 H Michigan 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.18
514 A Tulane 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.74
515 A Penn State 6- 2 4 5 -0.95
516 H Nebraska 11-14 -3 1 - -3.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Long Beach State 6-10 -4 4 --- -7.78 307 H South Dakota State 3- 2 1 7 --- -6.37 317 A UTSA 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.51 328 H Ohio State 3- 9 -6 3 --- -8.98 301 H Kansas 3- 8 -5 1 -- -5.88 329 H Ohio State 9-12 -3 3 -- -5.98 410 A Cal State Bakersfield 7- 8 -1 4 -- -4.77 503 A Penn State 3- 4 -1 5 -- -5.95 510 H Michigan 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.18 218 H Miami 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.57 308 H Omaha 6- 4 2 6 - -3.88 313 A Illinois 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.51 314 A Illinois 2- 4 -2 2 - -3.51 320 A Indiana 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.61 327 H Ohio State 3- 4 -1 3 - -3.98 411 H Washington 5- 4 1 4 - -3.14 502 A Penn State 5- 4 1 5 - -3.95 502 A Penn State 5- 3 2 5 - -2.95 509 H Michigan 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.18 516 H Nebraska 11-14 -3 1 - -3.97 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Northeastern 12- 2 10 4 +++ 6.41 222 H Northeastern 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.41 227 H Kansas 12- 5 7 1 +++ 6.12 228 H Kansas 10- 3 7 1 +++ 6.12 322 A Indiana 14- 2 12 2 +++ 10.39 408 A New Mexico State 16- 3 13 4 +++ 9.22 414 A St. Thomas 24- 2 22 7 +++ 7.23 424 H Northwestern 13- 1 12 5 +++ 6.50 508 H Michigan 13- 1 12 2 +++ 9.82 214 A St. John's 8- 0 8 3 ++ 5.49 303 A Sam Houston 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.78 306 A Xavier 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.93 403 A Iowa 9- 4 5 1 ++ 4.17 514 A Tulane 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.74 213 A Stetson 11- 5 6 4 + 2.10 421 H North Dakota State 12- 3 9 6 + 2.84 428 H St. Thomas 12- 1 11 8 + 2.88 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 11- 5 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.55 13.06
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 8- 0 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.55 14.57
3 H Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 8- 0 -8.52 9.90 -0.68 0.55 10.07
3 H Miami (22-13, 96.4) 5- 6 -3.46 14.97 -0.68 0.55 -1.13
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 12- 2 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.55 13.40
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 15- 5 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.55 13.40
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 7- 8 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.55 -0.94
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 12- 5 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.55 16.36
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 10- 3 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.55 16.36
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 3- 8 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.55 -0.94
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 14- 5 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.55 13.80
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 6-10 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.55 -1.73
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 10- 2 -6.31 12.12 0.68 0.55 13.96
3 H South Dakota S ( 4-15, 90.6) 3- 2 -9.25 9.17 -0.68 0.55 9.27
3 H Omaha ( 3-15, 92.1) 6- 4 -7.77 10.66 -0.68 0.55 10.89
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 11- 8 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.55 14.79
3 H Gonzaga (35-19, 95.7) 6- 2 -4.20 14.23 -0.68 0.55 14.79
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 1- 2 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.55 -1.11
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 2- 4 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.55 -1.11
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 1- 0 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.55 15.66
3 A UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 4-11 -2.74 15.68 0.68 0.55 -0.56
3 A Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 6- 8 -4.84 13.58 0.68 0.55 -1.14
3 H Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 2- 2 -3.56 14.87 -0.68 0.55 0.00
3 A Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 14- 2 -4.84 13.58 0.68 0.55 15.56
3 H St. Thomas ( 1- 8, 89.9) 15- 5 -10.01 8.42 -0.68 0.55 8.45
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 3- 4 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.55 -1.51
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 3- 9 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.55 -1.51
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 9-12 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.55 -1.51
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 9- 4 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.55 16.41
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 2- 3 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.55 -0.93
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 4- 5 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.55 -0.93
3 A New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 16- 3 -7.02 11.41 0.68 0.55 13.19
3 A North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 12- 9 -6.50 11.93 0.68 0.55 13.76
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 7- 8 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.55 -1.73
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 5- 4 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.55 12.80
3 A St. Thomas ( 1- 8, 89.9) 24- 2 -10.01 8.42 0.68 0.55 9.93
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 2- 4 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.55 -0.22
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 4- 6 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.55 -0.22
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 2- 5 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.55 -0.22
3 H North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 12- 3 -8.04 10.38 -0.68 0.55 10.59
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 13- 1 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.55 11.31
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 7- 3 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.55 11.31
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 7- 2 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.55 11.31
3 H St. Thomas ( 1- 8, 89.9) 12- 1 -10.01 8.42 -0.68 0.55 8.45
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 5- 4 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.55 11.91
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 5- 3 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.55 11.91
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 3- 4 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.55 -2.05
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 13- 1 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.55 14.93
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 8- 9 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.55 -1.29
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 5- 8 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.55 -1.29
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 7- 0 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.55 14.85
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 6- 2 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.55 11.91
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 11-14 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.55 -0.96
------
375.95
|
winning pts = 398.9867 losing points = -23.0387
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------